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Nate Silver
American
January 13, 1978
Writer
Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Boring
Unfortunately
Elections
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Very
Things
Lot
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
Tags:
World
Where
Living
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Like
Had
Looked
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
Tags:
He
Believe
Him
I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Politics
People
Like
People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.
Nate Silver
Tags:
People
Like
Much
I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Food
Really
Been
I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Great
About
Think
We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that.
Nate Silver
Tags:
You
More
Our
I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Power
Really
Doing
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Way
Much
Too
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
Tags:
New
Actually
Times
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
Tags:
People
Like
Think
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Good
People
Know
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Good
More
Than
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
Tags:
You
About
Had
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Like
About
Most
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
Tags:
Time
Good
You